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Date February 1, 2026
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Driving decarbonization? Corporate responses to the Paris climate agreement in the global automotive sector

By Fiona Bare, Jeff D. Colgan, and Alexander S. Gard-Murray

Did firms accelerate decarbonization as a result of the 2015 Paris Agreement, particularly in industries where low-carbon options were technologically feasible? This paper challenges optimistic accounts of the Paris Agreement's influence and call for continued efforts to understand the limits of international agreements in driving firm behavior to address climate change.

The Paris Agreement adopted at the twenty-first Conference of the Parties (COP21) under the UN Framework Convention for Climate Change (UNFCCC) is a landmark agreement to reduce global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. While emissions have not decreased since COP21, the growth rate has declined relative to “business as usual,” and there is an open question as to whether the Paris Agreement contributed to this decline. Changing firm behavior is key to driving climate mitigation, so we ask: to what extent did the Paris Agreement lead firms to decarbonize?

This paper examines whether the Paris Agreement shifted corporate strategy in “convertible” industries, focusing on the automotive sector. 

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Driving decarbonization? Corporate responses to the Paris climate agreement in the global automotive sector